ISSUED: Monday, September 23, 2019 @ 06:00 LST (10:00 UTC)
VALID UNTIL: Tuesday morning (06:00 LST) September 24, 2019
…A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR ST. MAARTEN UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE…
This morning: Partly cloudy to cloudy and hazy with brief isolated showers possible.
This afternoon through Tuesday morning: Generally cloudy and breezy with isolated showers and possible isolated thunderstorms.
High: 32°C / 90°F
Forecast Low: 27°C / 81°F
Sunrise Tomorrow: 6:02 A.M.
Today through Tuesday morning: Southeast to south with a moderate to fresh breeze of 10 to 20 mph and higher gusts.
Growing amounts of moisture and instability associated with the approaching outer bands of Tropical Storm Karen will account for increased cloudiness and shower activity. Some of these showers may be heavy and accompanied by thunder, especially during the latter part of the forecast period.
A small craft advisory remains in effect for St. Maarten as above-normal seas continue across the region. Small craft operators and sea bathers should exercise extreme caution.
OF THE SEA: Moderate to rough
WAVES/SWELLS: 6 to 9 feet
1. At 05:00 am, the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 13.6 north, longitude 63.9 west or about 310 miles south of St. Maarten.
Karen is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue today. A turn toward the north is expected on Tuesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Karen will move across the eastern Caribbean Sea through tonight. The center of Karen is forecast to pass about 160 miles west-southwest of St. Maarten on Tuesday afternoon.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength will be possible during the next 48 hours due to strong upper-level winds.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km), mainly northeast through southeast of the center.
The latest estimated minimum central pressure reported is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
Tropical Depression 13 has formed in the far Eastern Atlantic at 11:00pm last
night. T.D. 13 is located near 10.8N 22.2W or about 2780 miles east-southeast
of St. Maarten, moving West at 15 mph.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
A general motion toward the west is expected through Monday, with a motion toward the west-northwest expected Monday night and Tuesday.
On the forecast track, the center of the depression should pass well over 1000 miles east of St. Maarten on Saturday.
Steady strengthening is expected, with the depression forecast to become a tropical storm later today and possibly a hurricane by Tuesday night.
Meteorological Department of St. Maarten will continue to monitor the progress
of these systems and update the public accordingly.
OUTLOOK through Wednesday morning: Generally cloudy and breezy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.